NFL Week 4 Performance Recap

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

The Seahawks edged the Cardinals 23-20, opening as roughly −3 to −3.5 favorites with a total near 44, covering the spread while the game stayed under. Jason Myers drilled a 52-yard field goal as time expired after Kyler Murray (27-of-41, 200 yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs) had tied it with a late touchdown drive. Sam Darnold went 18-of-26 for 242 yards and a score, Kenneth Walker III added 81 rushing yards, and Seattle’s defense sacked Murray six times to keep Arizona’s offense in check until the final minutes.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Minnesota Vikings

The Steelers edged the Vikings 24-21, opening about −1.5 in Minnesota with a total near 41.5, covering the spread while the total stayed under. Kenneth Gainwell rushed for 99 yards and two touchdowns, including a goal-line score, and Aaron Rodgers was efficient (18-of-22, 200 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT) while connecting on an 80-yard strike to DK Metcalf. Minnesota’s Carson Wentz threw for 350 yards with two touchdowns but also tossed two interceptions, while Pittsburgh’s defense registered six sacks and a key interception that swung field position toward the win.

Washington Commanders at Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons beat Washington 34-27, opening as about −3 favorites with the total in the mid-40s; Atlanta covered while the total stayed under. Michael Penix Jr. threw for a career-high 313 yards and two touchdowns, Bijan Robinson piled up 181 scrimmage yards (75 rushing, 106 receiving) including a 69-yard catch-and-run, and Drake London added 110 receiving yards and a TD. Marcus Mariota, in for the injured Jayden Daniels, was 16-of-27 for 156 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception, though injuries to Terry McLaurin and a short-handed Washington offense struggled against a balanced Falcons attack. 

Los Angeles Chargers at New York Giants

The Giants knocked off the Chargers 21-18, opening close as slight favorites at home with a total around 43.5, covering while the total stayed under. Rookie Jaxson Dart made a splash in his debut—passing for a touchdown and rushing one in—while Cam Skattebo led the Giants on the ground with 79 yards. Justin Herbert finished 23-of-41 for 203 yards, one TD and two interceptions. Omarion Hampton broke loose for a 54-yard rushing score for L.A., but New York’s defense bent without breaking and held firm late to secure their first win.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

The Texans blanked Tennessee 26-0, opening as about −6.5 favorites with the total around 39.5, covering the spread while the total stayed under. C.J. Stroud was sharp (22-of-28, 233 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs) and rookie Woody Marks had a breakout game—catching one touchdown and rushing for another. Houston’s defense pitched its first shutout in nearly 15 years, while Tennessee’s Cam Ward was intercepted and held to 108 yards passing in a quiet day for the Titans. 

Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Eagles beat the Bucs 31-25, opening as modest favorites (around −2.5) with the total near 43.5; Philadelphia covered, and the total went over. A blocked punt returned for a touchdown by Sydney Brown set the tone early, and Jalen Hurts added two touchdown passes—one and another on a fake “tush push” — while Saquon Barkley punched in a short rushing score. Baker Mayfield hit Emeka Egbuka for a 77-yard TD and Bucky Irving hauled in a 72-yard score to keep Tampa Bay in it, but Philadelphia’s defense held firm down the stretch and forced a final sack that sealed the win.

Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots

The Patriots crushed the Panthers 42-13, opening as solid home favorites with a total in the low-40s; New England covered and the total went over. Marcus Jones electrified the game with an 87-yard punt return touchdown and finished with 167 punt return yards, while Drake Maye was sharp—completing 14 of 17 passes for 203 yards and two touchdowns and adding a rushing score. Stefon Diggs contributed six catches for 101 yards. Carolina’s offense never found rhythm as Bryce Young threw for 150 yards and one touchdown before being replaced, and the Panthers missed an extra point and squandered other scoring opportunities.

New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills

The Bills handled the Saints 31-19, opening as ~−14.5 favorites with an O/U near 48.5; Buffalo easily covered and the total stayed under. Josh Allen accounted for three touchdowns (two passing, one rushing) despite tossing his first interception of the season, and James Cook piled up 117 rushing yards and a score. Buffalo’s defense held New Orleans to just 19 points and forced key mistakes, while wideout Khalil Shakir busted a 43-yard catch-and-run for a touchdown to highlight a balanced attack.

Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions

The Lions rolled to a 34-10 win, opening as about −8.5 favorites with the total near 44.5; Detroit covered while the total stayed under. Jared Goff connected twice with Amon-Ra St. Brown for touchdowns, and Kalif Raymond broke the game open with a 65-yard punt return score. Detroit’s defense forced multiple turnovers—including two interceptions and a fumble—and converted them into 17 points, limiting Cleveland to just 249 total yards and a quiet day from Joe Flacco (16-of-34, 184 yards, 2 INTs).

Jacksonville Jaguars at San Francisco 49ers

The Jaguars won 26-21, opening roughly −3 (home) with a total around 45–46; Jacksonville covered while the total stayed under. Trevor Lawrence threw for 174 yards and a touchdown, Travis Etienne rushed for 124 yards and a score, and Parker Washington returned a punt 87 yards for a touchdown—the Jaguars’ first punt return TD since 2017. Their defense forced four turnovers, including a late strip-sack of Brock Purdy that sealed the win, and San Francisco’s offense couldn’t overcome those mistakes despite a 309-yard passing day from Purdy.

Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Rams

The Rams rallied past the Colts 27-20, likely opening around −3 with a total in the mid-40s; Los Angeles covered while the total stayed under. Matthew Stafford tossed three touchdowns, including a perfect 88-yard strike to Tutu Atwell with 1:33 left, after Indianapolis’ Adonai Mitchell fumbled just short of the goal line earlier in the game. Puka Nacua tallied a career day (13 catches, 170 yards, 1 TD), while Daniel Jones completed 24 of 33 for 262 yards, one score and two interceptions. The Colts had built a 20-13 lead with a late Michael Pittman Jr. TD and a field goal, but Stafford’s late heroics flipped the result, and Kam Curl sealed it with an interception in the final minute.

Chicago Bears at Las Vegas Raiders

The Bears squeezed past the Raiders 25–24, opening as about −1.5 underdogs with the O/U near 46.5; the Bears covered while the total stayed under. Caleb Williams faced a fierce pass rush all night but rallied late, engineering a 69-yard drive capped by D’Andre Swift’s 2-yard run with 1:34 left, and former CB Josh Blackwell blocked Daniel Carlson’s 54-yard field-goal attempt to preserve the win. Chicago’s defense forced four turnovers, while the Raiders’ Ashton Jeanty ran for 138 yards (and had multiple touchdowns) but also coughed up a fumble at a crucial time.

Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs routed Baltimore 37-20, opening as moderate favorites (≈ −3) with a total near 49.5; Kansas City covered while the total stayed under. Patrick Mahomes torched the Ravens for 270 yards and four touchdowns, connecting with four different receivers, while Baltimore—hobbled by injuries—saw Lamar Jackson exit early with a hamstring issue after throwing for 147 yards, a score, and his first pick of the season. The Ravens’ depleted defense couldn’t contain Kansas City’s attack, and a late 71-yard run by Justice Hill merely padded the margin in the fourth quarter.

Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys

The game ended in a 40-40 tie after overtime, with both teams trading field goals and failing to break away. It opened with Dallas as a narrow favorite (around −6.5) and a total in the mid-40s; neither the spread nor total saw a decisive result—technically, the “cover” was a push with the tie, and the game pushed the over. Jordan Love and Dak Prescott each threw three touchdown passes without interceptions, Love going 31-of-43 for 337 yards and Prescott 31-of-40 for 319, and the two teams combined for seven straight lead-changing TDs. Micah Parsons’s return to Dallas included a sack in OT that helped stall a Cowboys drive, contributing to the stalemate.

Monday Night Preview: 

Jets at DolphinsMiami enters as about −2.5 favorites with the total set near 44.5, and bettors are leaning toward the under in this one. Both the Dolphins and Jets are winless at 0–3, making this a must-win for either side to avoid digging an early hole. Miami will be without cornerbacks Storm Duck and Jason Marshall, while the Jets will miss cornerback Jarvis Brownlee and edge rusher Jermaine Johnson. Justin Fields is cleared from concussion protocol and expected to start for New York, restoring mobility and playmaking to their offense. Miami still possesses weapons—Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and the possible return of Darren Waller—but their defense has been porous. The game likely hinges on which offense can impose its will without turning the ball over.

Bengals at Broncos

Denver is being installed as roughly a −7 to −7.5 favorite, with the total at 44.5, and oddsmakers expect this one to stay under. Cincinnati is reeling after a 48–10 shellacking in Minnesota, and tight end Noah Fant has been ruled out with a concussion, weakening their passing attack. The Broncos face pressure to bounce back—quarterback Bo Nix must produce, while their defense, featuring Patrick Surtain II, will look to dominate the line of scrimmage. The Bengals’ backup signal-callers have struggled to protect the ball, and if Denver forces turnovers and controls the trenches, this could tilt decisively in their favor.